Our machine learning algorithm detected 22 up-and-coming suburbs in the Sydney housing market. Join hundreds of other savvy investors on our property portal and discover High ROI Hotspots today!
Capital Growth and Yield Ranking
Median Price Forecasts
We use a machine-learning algorithm that learns off a combination of historical and recent — days and weeks — sales data to forecast future prices at city, council (LGA) and suburb levels. Our forecasts are produced continuously and published on a fortnightly basis for 5 capital cities, 400 council areas and 6,390 suburbs Australia-wide.
Here are some of the previous forecasts our model produced. Notice that the model is trained to predict the actual position in the market 2 years into the future, and although the forecast and actual median price curves don’t always align, the end-point result is astonishingly accurate. The forecast average error rate is in the 1-7% range with projections always falling within the confidence intervals outputted by our model. The error rate is significantly lower in areas exhibiting high volume of sales (40 per quarter or more).
We collect new sales data on a weekly basis. The delay in most industry property reports is at least 3 months. In contrast to that, because of constant inflow of fresh data, HtAG’s view of the market is near real-time. We normally have the current median price and corresponding forecasts modelled and published 1 month into the calendar quarter. For instance, Q4 data will be available in the first week of November.
Property Market Cycles
Australian property market cycles differ across states and capital cities. Whereas most investors are aware of price cyclicity at this “low resolution” view of the market, little is known about how property cycles manifest themselves at the council and suburb level.
Because we analyse cycles at their most granular (suburb) level, our reports pinpoint areas that move out of cycle within a city or regional area. This information is of great value to any savvy investor looking for a perfect market entry timing and is very popular with entrepreneurs employing the renovate and sell strategy. Our reports also evince areas that are not subjected to negative price movement in the downturn and are great safe haven investments for the buy and hold, negative gearing and positive gearing strategists.
For example, the first chart on the right illustrates cycles in 29 Sydney areas for the house market segment. Despite the downturn, a number of areas remain just below the positive growth region (the horizontal 0 axis red line). Area 1 (Woollahra LGA) shows out of cycle behavior. Sign up to find out what all the charted areas are.
Similar to Sydney, cyclical patterns are seen in other capital cities, with Adelaide and Perth exhibiting at least 2 localised markets with opposite periodicity. Note that cycles presented here are for the house market segment. Sign up to get access to both house and unit market segment reports.
Discover property hotspots that meet your investment profile with ease!
HtAG collects property sales data continuously and, as a result, our forecast model reacts to changes in market conditions in near real-time. Our algorithm follows more than 6,392 distinct property markets and produces suburb level market cycle analysis & median price forecasts progressively as new data becomes available. Sign up today & get access to over 600 current reports that will help you discover some of the best investment locations in Q4 2019. Our subscriptions are tax deductable for existing investors.
Public
2019-2020 State/City/LGA heatmaps. 2008-2019 City/LGA/Suburb Median Price & Rent. 2019 LGA/Suburb Yield Ranking & Demand Profiles.
$ 0.00 30 days
MOST POPULAR
Standard
All Public plan features. 2021 City/LGA/Suburb Median Price & Rent Forecasts. 2008-2021 LGA/Suburb Market Cycle Analysis.
$ 19.99 30 days
Premium
All Standard plan features. 2021 LGA/Suburb Capital Growth & Yield ranking. Priority Support & Guidance. RE InveStar Discount included.
$ 24.99 30 days
Sydney Top Movers – Houses
Sydney Top Movers – Units
368
Subscribers and growing
3721825
Property Sales Analysed
6392
Suburbs Ranked
253000
Estimated Customer Savings
Counts last updated on 3 November 2019.
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| Plan Features | Public | Standard | Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-2019 Heatmaps | |||
| 2019 Top 10 Movers | |||
| 10 Year Price and Sales Data | |||
| 2021 Median Price Forecasts | |||
| Market Cycle Analysis | |||
| Capital Growth Ranking | |||
| Real Estate Investar Discount |