Rising Markets During CoVid19?

CoVid19 has brought on a lot of doubt around getting into the property market. Since the start of the pandemic, we have seen reports from the banks come in at 30% to 40% loss, then reduced to 15% to 20% and now with the latest reports of no more than 5%. While there was a lot of misreporting in these figures, a lot of it was also due to the lack of understanding around the assumptions.

When deciding to enter into a property market for investment purposes, an important rut is to avoid thinking about the “Australian property market” as a whole. I say this because it’s not one market but many. And each market has its’ own characteristics which are influenced differently by global and domestic events. We monitor over 3500 suburbs and have strong data on current and projected growth in more than 40 suburbs. These suburbs are well positioned to achieve 7% growth, are all positively geared and trending upwards.

Now that this fundamental fact about the Australian property market is explained, I’d like to elaborate on future projections and how they can be better put into context when assessing the areas we are looking into. We call it the model of “being in the right place at the right time”.

Let me explain.

Right place at the right time

Our observation is that vacancy rates (which is considered to be one of the key lead metrics for future direction of property markets) are opening up in some areas and certain markets are losing demand due to population relocation into regional areas. The areas with population influx are growing in demand and vacancy rates are tightening up.

This is supply and demand 101.

However, vacancy rates and population movements is not always enough to decide on the right areas to focus on when looking for pre-boom markets. We need to also understand the driving factors of why this is happening. Enter infrastructure and amenity.

CoVid brought on large infrastructure investments implemented by Fast Track 2020 projects, which is a large amount of budget spending on infrastructure growth by the Australian government. More than $300 billion worth of projects have been put in place to help recover the Australian economy. These projects span from housing injection, airport expansions and transport additions through to building new hospitals, universities, and even full cities.

Image: Australian Government Infrastructure Plan for Western Sydney

What does regional migration and new infrastructure mean?

Well, if we line up what we know about the historical data, understand the current trends and align this with the right kind of additional infrastructure, we can make safer assumptions for market movement in the future. We base it on logical growth mapping, rather than “taking the hit and hope” approach to property investing.

With so many projects nationwide, the growth impacts of each will vary and so will the yields as well as vacancy rate, days on market, population demographic and a lot more. All these factors will affect your investment outcome and so your strategy will need to align with the area you are looking into.

Meet Strat Prop

As the founder of Strat Prop, I proudly implement these systems for our clients based on data from HtAG Analytics and other providers. Our nationwide team segments the markets and uses client’s available funds to achieve best possible high growth and cash flow outcomes.

For more information, get in touch with me about the best strategy suiting your particular circumstances.

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