HtAG’s machine learning algorithm analyses the investment potential of over 50 Local Government Areas in South Australia. Localities are ranked based on projected capital growth and statistical significance of forecast (high, medium & low confidence).
We use a machine-learning algorithm that learns off a combination of historical and recent — days and weeks — sales data to forecast future prices. Because we collect new sales data on a daily basis, marginal increases or decreases in sale prices serve as immediate signals for our model to adapt to new market realities.
The delay in most industry property reports is at least 3 months. In contrast to that, HtAG’s view of the market is near real-time. Here are some of the previous forecasts our model produced.
Australian property market cycles differ across states and capital cities. Whereas most investors are aware of price cyclicity at this “low resolution” view of the market, little is known about how property cycles manifest themselves at the council and suburb level.
Because we analyse cycles at their most granular (suburb) level, our reports pinpoint areas that move out of cycle within a city or regional area. This information is of great value to any savvy investor looking for a perfect market entry timing and is very popular with entrepreneurs employing the renovate and sell strategy. Our reports also evince areas that are not subjected to negative price movement in the downturn and are great safe haven investments for the buy and hold, negative gearing and positive gearing strategists.
For example, the first chart on the right illustrates cycles in 18 Adelaide areas for the house market segment. Despite the downturn, majority of the areas remain in the positive growth region (above the horizontal 0 axis red line). Sign up to find out what all the charted areas are.
Similar to Adelaide, cyclical patterns are seen in other capital cities, with Sydney and Melbourne exhibiting strong cyclicity across all LGAs and Perth having at least 2 localised markets with opposite periodicity. Note that cycles presented here are for the house market segment. Sign up to get access to both house and unit market segment reports.
Counts last updated on 27 July 2019.
|2019 Top 10 Movers|
|10 Year Price and Sales Data|
|2021 Median Price Forecasts|
|Market Cycle Analysis|
|Capital Growth Ranking|
|Real Estate Investar Discount|