Moonee Valley City
Victoria
Good to Know
Moonee Valley is a high-value house market across the LGA, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Located close to the Melbourne CBD, it is home to roughly 121,851 adults across about 58,342 dwellings and currently records a vacancy rate of 1.49%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Moonee Valley is exhibiting tight supply and capital-led performance. Stock on Market sits at 0.75% and Inventory at 1.87 months — well below the ~3-month balanced threshold — driving +8.3% YoY price growth and +1.8% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Moonee Valley shows strong price momentum (+8.3% in the past year) while rents have only edged up (+1.8%), producing a compressed gross yield of 2.23% — below the minimum recommended 3%. That gap suggests the market is being driven more by capital gains than by rental income, which matters for yield-focused investors.
Supply-side signals are mixed: days-on-market are short at 29 days and Inventory is an opportune 1.87 months, even though Stock on Market is a neutral 0.75%. For a visual view, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Moonee Valley — and why it matters for investors
Moonee Valley scores an IRSAD of 1051, indicating relatively high socio-economic advantage; that typically supports lower volatility and stronger long-run capital appreciation. The Renter/Owner split is 33.0% (neutral) and the Units/Houses mix is 48.0% (neutral), which together point to a balanced occupier base. Read more in our IRSAD Crossover study.
Why Moonee Valley is a screening layer, not a final answer
Council-level metrics are a useful screening layer but they blend many neighbourhoods with different dynamics. Decision-making should rest on Moonee Valley’s own suburb-level signals: a typical house price of $1,740,641, a gross yield of 2.23%, Stock on Market at 0.75%, Inventory at 1.87 months and median days-on-market of 29 — together these describe a tight, capital-growth biased housing market. For more on why granularity matters, see LGA vs Suburb research.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 64
The HtAG RCS™ (64) bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into one composite so you can align markets to strategy. Inspecting the component sub-scores is essential: Moonee Valley’s profile (strong prices, low yield, tight inventory) favours capital-growth strategies over pure cashflow plays. Learn how the RCS™ is built. Ready for deeper analysis? open Moonee Valley in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
The vacancy rate — currently 1.49%: sustained sub-2% vacancy usually supports rental growth and keeps investor competition elevated over 12–24 months, but it is still in the neutral/balanced band.
The building approvals ratio — currently 0.85%: a neutral BA ratio suggests supply additions are steady but not booming; a material lift above ~2% would increase near-term stock and soften price pressure.
The Melbourne cycle phase: a city-wide shift from expansion to slowdown would likely cool Moonee Valley’s capital momentum and reduce investor appetite, while continued expansion would reinforce the area’s strong price performance.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Moonee Valley City's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Moonee Valley City's headline values — $1,740K to buy and $746PW to rent, a 2.22% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 41.94% and rents 56.39% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$1,740K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$746PW today, with rent growth at (+1.77% YoY) compared to price growth (+8.27%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Moonee Valley City in its cycle - and is the 2.22% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Moonee Valley City's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Moonee Valley City carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Moonee Valley City's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Moonee Valley City can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Moonee Valley City genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Moonee Valley City prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Moonee Valley City - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Moonee Valley City looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Moonee Valley City's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Moonee Valley City has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Moonee Valley City shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Moonee Valley City has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.