Roxburgh Park, VIC 3064
Hume City, Victoria
Good to Know
Roxburgh Park, VIC 3064 is a value-oriented house market in the Hume City area, currently positioned as a capital-growth submarket. Located on Melbourne's northern fringe, it is home to roughly 24,129 adults across 7,666 dwellings and currently records a vacancy rate of 2.86%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Roxburgh Park is exhibiting tight listing supply with broadly balanced rental availability. Stock on Market sits at 0.20% and Inventory at 2.49 months — slightly below the ~3-month balanced-market threshold — driving +13.3% YoY price growth and +0.2% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Roxburgh Park's housing market shows strong price-led momentum: 1-year price growth is +13.3% while 1-year rent growth is only +0.2%, so capital gains are currently outpacing income returns. The indicative gross yield of 3.25% sits just above the minimum recommended threshold of 3%, indicating modest yield support despite the sharp capital uplift.
Supply-side readings reinforce the capital-pressure story: Stock on Market is an opportune 0.20% and the Building Approvals Ratio is an opportune 0.09%, while Inventory (2.49 months) and Vacancy (2.86%) are in the neutral band. For a live view of where Roxburgh Park sits in the national picture, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Roxburgh Park — and why it matters for investors
Roxburgh Park records an IRSAD decile of 2, indicating lower relative socio‑economic status; that profile can mean higher sensitivity to local employment and affordability changes, and historically tends to lift volatility during tighter economic cycles. The Renter/Owner split is 22% (neutral), showing a mixed tenure base that supports both owner-occupier demand and rental market depth.
Local demographics — about 24,129 adults across 7,666 dwellings — help explain demand drivers and turnover dynamics. For research on how socio‑economic crossover affects growth, see the IRSAD Crossover study.
Why suburb-level data matters for Roxburgh Park
Council-level averages can mask pockets like Roxburgh Park; investors should make decisions on the suburb's own metrics. Roxburgh Park's typical house price is $847,897, with an indicative gross yield of 3.25%, Stock on Market at 0.20%, Inventory at 2.49 months and median Days on Market of 36 days — these exact suburb readings tell a different story than a blended council average would. Read more on the methodology at LGA vs Suburb research.
Download the full Roxburgh Park data guide for the complete suburb-level dataset and charts.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 66
The HtAG RCS™ bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into a single composite. A score of 66 signals a market with meaningful growth upside while carrying some affluence and affordability risks; reading the sub-score breakdown helps align the suburb to your chosen strategy. Learn more about how the RCS™ is built.
To inspect sub-scores and scenario testing, open Roxburgh Park in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
The vacancy rate — currently 2.86%: sustained neutral vacancy around this level implies limited short-term rental pressure on rents; a sustained fall below 1% over 12–24 months would be a clear signal of tightening rental markets and faster cashflow growth.
The building approvals ratio — currently 0.09%: very low approvals suggest little near-term new supply, which supports price resilience if demand holds.
The Melbourne cycle phase: a city-wide shift into a stronger upswing would likely amplify Roxburgh Park's local momentum and capital gains; conversely, a broader slowdown in Melbourne would temper that upside and test rental demand in lower-IRSAD suburbs.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Roxburgh Park's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Market Trends
Roxburgh Park's headline values — $847K to buy and $530PW to rent, a 3.25% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 100.57% and rents 49.44% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$847K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$530PW today, with rent growth at (+0.19% YoY) compared to price growth (+13.34%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Roxburgh Park in its cycle - and is the 3.25% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Roxburgh Park's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Roxburgh Park carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Roxburgh Park's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Roxburgh Park can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Roxburgh Park genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Roxburgh Park prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Roxburgh Park - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Roxburgh Park looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Roxburgh Park's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Roxburgh Park has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Roxburgh Park shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Roxburgh Park has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Roxburgh Park 3064 VIC is 18,601, with a median age of 31. Of those, 51.59% are married, 8.75% are divorced or separated, 36.21% are single and 3.44% are widowed.
The average household size is 3.7 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $6,528. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $1,733 which is 26.55% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)