Moranbah, QLD 4744
Isaac Regional, Queensland
Good to Know
Moranbah, QLD 4744 is a tightly-held house market in the Moranbah area, currently positioned as a short-to-medium hold capital-growth submarket. The suburb is home to roughly 9,425 adults across 4,968 dwellings, and the current vacancy rate sits at 1.75%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Moranbah is exhibiting constrained supply dynamics. Stock on Market sits at 0.39% and Inventory at 2.31 months — just below the ~3-month balanced threshold for sales activity — driving +12.1% YoY price growth and -5.1% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Moranbah shows a divergence between strong capital gains and weakening rental momentum: prices are up 12.1% over 12 months while rents are down 5.1%. That combination, together with a very low Stock on Market (0.39%) and a balanced Inventory (2.31 months), suggests buyer competition is supporting prices even as short-term rental rates soften.
For a snapshot of how Moranbah sits inside current national momentum, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Moranbah — and why it matters for investors
Moranbah records an IRSAD of 1017, which sits above HtAG's recommended minimum. Higher IRSAD readings tend to correlate with more resilient demand and less downside volatility over full cycles. However, a high renter share of 68.0% is an important structural factor — it can magnify cashflow sensitivity if local rental markets weaken.
Read more on why socioeconomic mix matters in property via the IRSAD Crossover study.
Why suburb-level data matters for Moranbah
Council-level averages can hide pockets like Moranbah. Making decisions on the council alone misses the suburb's actual signals: a typical house price of $465,277, a gross yield of 7.63%, Stock on Market 0.39%, Inventory 2.31 months, and a median DOM of 53 days describe a market with tight listed supply and above-average rental return. Those are the exact metrics investors should weigh — not a blurred LGA average.
Learn more about why suburb-level analysis matters in our LGA vs Suburb research. For a deeper exportable pack, get the full Moranbah data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 49
HtAG's RCS™ (Rating Composite Score) bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into a single, comparable score. Moranbah's overall RCS 49 summarises those trade-offs, but the sub-score breakdown is essential to match the suburb to your strategy (for example, whether you prioritise yield or downside protection).
Read about how the RCS™ is built and open Moranbah in HtAG Copilot to inspect sub-scores and scenario testing.
Forward signals to watch
The vacancy rate — currently 1.75%: a sustained rate in the ~1–3.5% band implies broadly balanced rental market conditions; watch for movement below 1% (tight) or above 3.5% (softening demand).
The building approvals ratio — currently 0.0%: very low approvals reduce future dwelling additions, reinforcing current supply constraints if demand returns.
The wider Brisbane cycle phase: a city-wide shift in the Brisbane cycle (upturn or downturn) would filter through to regional and commuter-linked markets, altering local momentum and investor sentiment in Moranbah.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Moranbah's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Moranbah's headline values — $465K to buy and $685PW to rent, a 7.65% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 109.81% and rents 114.78% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$465K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$685PW today, with rent growth at (-5.14% YoY) compared to price growth (+12.12%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Moranbah in its cycle - and is the 7.65% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Moranbah's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Moranbah carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Moranbah's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Critical to know
Fundamentals
Moranbah can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Moranbah genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Moranbah prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Moranbah - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Moranbah looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Moranbah's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Moranbah has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Moranbah shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Moranbah has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Moranbah 4744 QLD is 7,120, with a median age of 31. Of those, 42.23% are married, 11.87% are divorced or separated, 44.68% are single and 1.19% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.8 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $13,308. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $1,300 which is 9.77% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)