Discover Top Capital Growth & Yield Locations with HtAG® Forecasts

Accelerate your financial success through access to timely and actionable property market information. Join hundreds of other real estate professionals on our property portal and discover High ROI Hotspots with ease!

Median Price Forecasts

We use a machine-learning algorithm that learns off a combination of historical and recent — days and weeks — sales data to forecast future prices at city, council (LGA) and suburb levels. Our forecasts are produced continuously and published on a fortnightly basis for 5 capital cities, ~400 council areas and 4,700 suburbs Australia-wide.

Here are some of the previous forecasts our model produced. Notice that the model is trained to predict the actual position in the market 2 years into the future. The forecast result is guaranteed to fall within the 1-10% error range in areas with “high” and “medium” confidence levels. Our median price and rent projections have higher degree of accuracy in LGAs exhibiting high volume of sales (40 per quarter or more) and always adhere to confidence intervals defined by our model.

We collect new sales data on a weekly basis. The delay in most industry property reports is at least 3 months. In contrast to that, because of constant inflow of fresh data, HtAG’s view of the market is near real-time. We normally have the current median price and corresponding forecasts modelled and published 1 month into the calendar quarter. For instance, Q1 data was made available in the first week of February.

Property Market Cycles

Australian property market cycles differ across states and capital cities. Whereas most real estate professionals are aware of price cyclicity at this "low resolution" view of the market, little is known about how property cycles manifest themselves at the council and suburb level.

Because we analyse cycles at their most granular (suburb) level, our reports pinpoint areas that move out of cycle within a city or regional area. This information is of great value to any real estate professional looking for a perfect market entry and is very popular with investors employing the renovate and sell strategy. Our reports also evince areas that are not subjected to negative price movement in the downturn and are great safe haven investments for the buy and hold, negative gearing and positive gearing strategists.

For example, the first chart on the right illustrates cycles in 29 Sydney areas for the house market segment. Despite the downturn, 7 areas remain in the positive growth region (the horizontal 0 axis red line) with Area 1 (Woollahra LGA) exhibiting significant positive growth. Sign up to find out what all the charted areas are.

Similar to Sydney, cyclical patterns are seen in other capital cities, with Adelaide and Perth exhibiting at least 2 localised markets with opposite periodicity. These are just 5 instances of market cycle visualisations we produce. There are 600 more that encompass 4,300 suburbs Australia-wide!

Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Perth Adelaide

Discover property hotspots that meet your financial profile with ease!

HtAG collects property sales data continuously and, as a result, our forecast model reacts to changes in market conditions in near real-time. Our algorithm follows more than 4,700 distinct property markets and produces suburb level market cycle analysis & median price forecasts progressively as new data becomes available. Sign up today & get continuous access to over 600 near real-time market reports that will help you discover top capital growth and yield locations with ease.