Warwick, QLD 4370
Southern Downs Regional, Queensland
Good to Know
Warwick, QLD 4370 is a tightly-held house market in the Southern Downs Regional Council area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Located around 130 km south‑west of Brisbane CBD, Warwick is home to roughly 12,294 adults across 7,117 dwellings and currently records a vacancy rate of 0.96%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Warwick is exhibiting a supply-constrained market with upward price momentum. Stock on Market sits at 0.38% and Inventory at 3.41 months — marginally above the ~3‑month balanced-market threshold — driving +16.4% YoY price growth and +6.6% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Warwick's strong +16.4% annual price growth, coupled with rent growth of +6.6%, shows capital appreciation running ahead of income gains. Low visible supply — Stock on Market 0.38% and a vacancy rate of 0.96% — is supporting upward pressure on prices and rents, though Inventory at 3.41 months keeps the market near balance.
For a snapshot of where Warwick sits in the current cycle, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Warwick — and why it matters for investors
Warwick records an IRSAD of 886, below the recommended threshold of 927, which points to lower area socio‑economic scores and a potentially more price‑sensitive buyer/renter base. The renter/owner mix is neutral at 35.0%, while the very low units/houses ratio of 9.0% makes the house market relatively opportune for investors focused on detached stock.
Read more about how socio‑economic crossover affects growth in the IRSAD Crossover study.
Why suburb-level data matters for Warwick
Suburb-level metrics reveal the real story: Warwick's typical house price of $705,318, gross yield of 3.83%, low Stock on Market of 0.38%, Inventory of 3.41 months and median days on market of 56 days are the precise drivers you need to assess risk and timing. Council- or region-level averages can hide pockets with very different supply/demand balances; always base decisions on Warwick's own metrics.
For methodology on comparing layers of data, see LGA vs Suburb research. Get the full dataset for this suburb in the full Warwick QLD 4370 data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 74
HtAG's RCS™ of 74 bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital‑growth potential and cashflow resilience — into one composite. A single score is a shortcut; reading the underlying sub‑scores shows whether Warwick is driven by growth, yield or defensive traits, which helps match the suburb to your strategy.
Learn more about how the RCS™ is built. To explore Warwick interactively, open Warwick in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
The vacancy rate — currently 0.96%: sustained sub‑1% vacancy over 12–24 months tends to tighten rental markets, supporting rent growth and reducing investor lead times for re‑letting.
The building approvals ratio — currently 0.21%: low approvals suggest constrained new supply, which can prolong upside in a tight market but also limit choice for buyers over time.
The Brisbane cycle phase: a city‑level shift toward slowing activity would damp local momentum in Warwick, while continued expansion in Brisbane typically supports regional price strength through increased demand and investor interest.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Warwick's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
starter
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Warwick's headline values — $705K to buy and $517PW to rent, a 3.81% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 144.08% and rents 94.38% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$705K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$517PW today, with rent growth at (+6.56% YoY) compared to price growth (+16.42%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Warwick in its cycle - and is the 3.81% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Warwick's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Warwick carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Warwick's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Critical to know
Fundamentals
Warwick can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Warwick genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Warwick prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Warwick - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Warwick looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Warwick's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Warwick has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Warwick shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Warwick has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Warwick 4370 QLD is 10,048, with a median age of 45. Of those, 42.09% are married, 15.41% are divorced or separated, 33.96% are single and 8.57% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.2 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $5,400. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $1,170 which is 21.67% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)
Is it possible to include population growth + or – ??
Hi Steve,
I am pleased to inform you that we are currently in the process of enriching our suburb dashboards by integrating additional data sets, including detailed population statistics, among other relevant metrics.
You may have noticed that we already feature population statistics, delineated by Local Government Area (LGA) or suburb, within our ranking table on the homepage and in our Suburb Market Insights reports. While these figures provide an insightful snapshot of market size and social dynamics within a specific locale, I would like to highlight that population data on their own offer limited predictive capability for forecasting growth trajectories.
This limitation arises because population expansion is contingent upon the availability of adequate housing stock to accommodate such an increase. Therefore, our analytical focus is geared towards the metrics that more directly influence the supply and demand dynamics within any given market.
For instance, Building Approvals represent a powerful indicator for assessing potential future housing supply. Monitoring this metric closely grants a clearer perspective on the volume of housing that may soon be on the horizon.
I encourage you to utilise these targeted insights to enhance your understanding of the property market and refine your strategic approach.