Carrington, NSW 2294
Good to know:
Carrington, NSW 2294, is a laid-back suburb situated just north of Newcastle’s CBD. Originally an island, it's now connected to the mainland and known for its maritime history. This hidden gem boasts a charming mix of heritage-listed buildings and modern amenities. The suburb features parks like Connolly Park, offering waterfront views and recreational activities. Carrington is also home to trendy cafes, local pubs, and a strong community vibe. It's a popular choice for young professionals and families seeking proximity to Newcastle Harbour and the city, combined with a peaceful residential atmosphere.
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Carrington NSW 2294 has a typical house price of $1,109,234, median rent of $728 pw and a gross yield of 3.41% — this Carrington NSW 2294 property market snapshot shows tight supply, solid socio‑economic indicators and stretched affordability. The Carrington NSW 2294 property investment picture is best read as a growth-oriented market with above‑average price points, reasonable rental returns for that segment, and supply constraints that support capital appreciation; house prices in Carrington are being traded in a low-inventory environment with quick sale times.
Property market outlook
Supply-side signals are the strongest feature: Stock on Market is very low at 0.32% and Inventory sits at 1.11 months (both opportune), indicating tightly-held stock and limited resale availability — a condition supportive of price resilience and upside. Days on Market of 27 days is short (opportune), consistent with active buyer demand and limited negotiability (discounting is implied low). IRSAD 1017 is in the opportune range, signalling a relatively affluent catchment which historically helps capital stability and premium pricing. Building approvals ratio of 0.75% is neutral — modest pipeline for new housing, so the low current supply is unlikely to be rapidly reversed.
Demand-side measures are balanced to positive: Vacancy at 1.05% is within the neutral/balanced band, indicating rentals are not oversupplied but also not exceptionally tight; median rent of $728 yields 3.41%, which exceeds a common 3% minimum threshold and gives reasonably competitive cash returns for a high‑value house market. Renter/Owner ratio at 45% is neutral (on the upper edge of balanced), and Units/Houses ratio of 13% indicates this suburb is predominately houses, limiting unit-related supply pressure.
Confidence is Medium — data reliability is acceptable but investors should corroborate with sales volume and on-the-ground listings when making purchase decisions. The standout negative is affordability: Years to Own at 47 years is very high and reflects affordability stress for local buyers, which can increase reliance on investor demand and create sensitivity to interest rate rises.
Pros
- Low stock and low inventory (0.32% SoM, 1.11 months) — supply-constrained market supportive of capital growth.
- Short Days on Market (27 days) — strong transactional throughput and seller-friendly conditions.
- IRSAD 1017 — socio‑economic profile supports premium pricing and long‑term capital stability.
- Gross yield 3.41% — acceptable rental return for a high‑price house market (above 3% floor).
- Predominantly houses (UH ratio 13%) — limits oversupply risk from high-density unit development in the short term.
Cons
- Very poor affordability (47 years to own) — entry cost is high, increasing financing sensitivity and limiting owner‑occupier pool.
- Vacancy 1.05% is only marginally within the balanced band — not tight enough to guarantee strong rental growth without other demand drivers.
- Confidence Medium — relatively low sales may increase volatility in short-term reported metrics.
- Building approvals neutral (0.75%) — while not high, any uptick in approvals in adjacent catchments could affect supply dynamics over time.
- Renter/Owner ratio at 45% is neutral/high-end; a higher renter share can increase rent volatility during economic stress.
Investment strategies
- Growth-focused buy-and-hold: Carrington’s tight supply and high IRSAD make it suitable for capital growth investors with multi‑year horizons. Expect lower short‑term yield uplift but resilient price outcomes where demand persists.
- Target value-add smaller houses or subdividable blocks: Given high entry prices, look for properties where modest enhancement — refurbishment, layout optimisation, or secondary dwelling potential (subject to council) — can lift rental income and resale value.
- Conservative gearing and stress testing: High Years to Own and medium data confidence mean investors should stress test cashflows under higher interest-rate scenarios and confirm transaction activity locally.
- Consider hybrid strategies: Owner-occupier buyers with future rental conversion plans or investors combining Carrington with higher-yielding satellite suburbs can balance income and growth goals.
- Monitoring and timing: Because the market is supply-constrained, small shifts in approvals or local stock can affect pricing. Use rolling market checks (SoM, Inventory, DOM) and local auction/listing activity rather than relying on annual medians alone.
Is Carrington NSW 2294 a good suburb to invest in?
Carrington NSW 2294 is a good suburb to consider for capital-growth focused investors who can tolerate low relative affordability and accept moderate yields. The dominant signal is tight supply plus a strong socio‑economic profile — conditions that historically favour price resilience. However, it is less attractive for investors seeking high immediate cash yield or short‑term flip plays due to the high typical price and medium market confidence. In short: suitable for long-term growth investors with conservative financing, less suitable for yield-first or highly leveraged short-term strategies.
About HtAG Analytics Data
HtAG reports a base set of metrics per dwelling type including: Typical Price, Median Rent, Sales, Rentals, Δ Change (period comparisons), Gross Rental Yield, Capital Growth (CG) and CG Low/High, Total RoI (Yield + CG), Rent Increase (projected), Volatility Index (MAPE-based), Confidence (data accuracy), and the Relative Composite Score™. There are many additional metrics available on our dashboards (supply and demand details, building approvals, demographic ratios, school rank, local infrastructure spend proxies and more) — the list above is the primary base set used for suburb comparisons.
The guiding principle behind HtAG metrics is to capture both current market conditions and historical trend behaviour to enable relative market analysis close to the point of purchase. Unlike providers that focus primarily on broad public data and high-level trend narratives, HtAG’s metrics are curated and measured with the intention of analysing and comparing suburbs at the level prospective buyers and buyers’ agents use when making purchase decisions. Although metric names may be similar across providers, our data curation and measurement methods contain important nuances designed for decision‑grade comparisons.
Note on interpretation: the snapshot above reflects current value metrics for Carrington houses but does not incorporate trend trajectories or the differing weight that particular metrics may have for individual strategies. Some metrics (for example supply‑side indicators and IRSAD) will carry more importance for capital-growth strategies, while yield and vacancy may matter more for income strategies. Market selection varies by budget, borrowing capacity, risk appetite and intended hold/refinance timelines — HTAG excels at shortlisting markets based on those bespoke criteria rather than offering one-size-fits-all rankings. For serious investors and buyers’ agents, we recommend relative analysis across a shortlist of comparable suburbs aligned to your specific objectives.
Updated: 1 May 2026
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Quick Area Stats
Dwellings
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EDI
Bushfire Risk Index
Flood Risk Index
Education & Infrastructure
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School Rank
Infra. Spend
Market Trends
Essential metrics effectively streamline the process of identifying markets that match your financial situation and investment objectives. Typical Price, Indicative Yield and Total ROI provide a swift means to shortlist areas that resonate with what you’re seeking and can afford. These metrics also serve as valuable general trend indicators, allowing you to visualise transaction volumes and dynamics of change.
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The Growth Rate Cycle (GRC) is a metric used to analyse the year-on-year change in property values, providing insights into the growth cycle of a particular area. It uses the “typical price” metric to gauge property values more accurately than median prices, and includes both actual and projected data for the current year.
Fundamental metrics play a vital role in providing a comprehensive analysis of the socio-economic environment within a specific suburb or region. Additionally, the Return on Investment (ROI) and Volatility Index are crucial metrics that aid in evaluating the prospective profitability and the level of risk or stability in the market.
Socio-economics
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IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Projections
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Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Quick Area Stats
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Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rentals Volume
Stock on Market
Building Approvals
Inventory
Hold Period
Supply metrics are crucial in gauging both the existing volumes of real estate listed for sale and the properties anticipated to enter the market soon. A diminished supply could signal opportunities for price appreciation, particularly when there’s corresponding buyer demand to buoy the market. The Stock on Market and Inventory level metrics (current values) are presented as a 3-month rolling average of monthly data shown in the charts. This means the last 3 months of data are averaged. The BA Ratio represents the proportion of building approvals over the latest 12 months relative to the total dwellings in the area.
Days on Market
Search Index
Vacancy Rate
Clearance Rate
Demand metrics underscore the level of interest that potential property buyers or tenants have in a specific suburb or locality. When demand outstrips the available supply, or if the supply fails to meet the intensity of buyer/renter interest, there’s a potential for prices to climb, underscoring the pivotal relationship between demand dynamics and property value trends. The Days on Market and Clearance Rate metrics (current values) are presented as a 3-month rolling average of monthly data shown in the charts. This means the last 3 months of data are averaged.
We invite you to contribute to the conversation by sharing your thoughts or raising questions about this market in the comment section below.



















The total adult population (15 years or older) of Carrington 2294 NSW is 1,745, with a median age of 36. Of those, 29.86% are married, 15.19% are divorced or separated, 52.26% are single and 3.15% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.2 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $9,296. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $1,950 which is 20.98% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)