Townsville City
Queensland
Good to Know
Townsville QLD is a high-growth house market in the Townsville QLD area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. It is home to roughly 192,768 adults across 99,146 dwellings, with a vacancy rate of 1.38%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Townsville QLD is exhibiting demand-led tightening. Stock on Market sits at 0.98% and Inventory at 2.09 months — below the ~3-month balanced-market threshold — driving +16.2% YoY price growth and +6.8% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
In Townsville QLD, capital growth is noticeably stronger than rental growth: prices are up +16.2% year-on-year while rents are up +6.8%. That gap points to valuation expansion as the dominant force. At the same time, a vacancy rate of 1.38% and an Inventory of 2.09 months (just inside the low-supply band) underpin rental tightness and support faster price appreciation; Stock on Market at 0.98% sits in the neutral supply band while sales are relatively quick with a DOM of 31 days.
See the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap for live momentum and to compare where Townsville QLD fits in the national picture.
Who lives in Townsville QLD — and why it matters for investors
Townsville QLD posts an IRSAD of 978, above the recommended floor, indicating a stronger socioeconomic profile that generally reduces downside volatility and supports long-cycle capital growth. The Renter/Owner split is 37.0% (neutral), and the Units/Houses mix is 17.0% (neutral), so investor demand sits alongside a solid owner-occupier base.
Read the IRSAD Crossover study to understand how local socioeconomic position affects property outcomes.
Why Townsville QLD is a screening layer, not a final answer
Council- or LGA-level averages like those shown here are a useful first filter, but they blend many submarkets and can hide pockets with very different risk/return profiles. For Townsville QLD you should treat the LGA figures as a screening layer and then validate on suburb-level metrics before acting.
Key Townsville QLD figures to carry into that deeper check: typical house price $824,177, gross yield 3.46%, Stock on Market 0.98%, Inventory 2.09 months, and days on market 31 days. These give a snapshot of pricing, yield and supply dynamics you must reconcile at the suburb level.
See our LGA vs Suburb research for why you should not rely on LGA averages alone.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 53
The HtAG RCS™ bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into a single composite so you can quickly screen markets. A score of 53 signals a moderate risk/reward mix where growth is available but investors should check sub-score breakdowns (risk, growth, cashflow) to match the market to a strategy.
Learn more about how the RCS™ is built, or open Townsville QLD in HtAG Copilot to explore the sub-score breakdown and custom scenarios.
Forward signals to watch
vacancy rate — currently 1.38%: a sustained vacancy below ~1.5%–2% would tighten the rental market further and support stronger rent growth over 12–24 months; at present Townsville sits in the balanced band, so monitor for drift.
building approvals ratio — currently 1.25%: this neutral reading implies a moderate development pipeline; a material rise above the neutral band would signal future supply that could soften price momentum.
Brisbane cycle phase: any shift in the wider Brisbane cycle phase would alter investor sentiment and capital flows across Queensland, which could either amplify or blunt Townsville QLD's current local momentum depending on direction.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Townsville City's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Townsville City's headline values — $824K to buy and $549PW to rent, a 3.46% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 121.28% and rents 70.50% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$824K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$549PW today, with rent growth at (+6.81% YoY) compared to price growth (+16.17%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Townsville City in its cycle - and is the 3.46% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Townsville City's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Townsville City carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Townsville City's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Townsville City can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Townsville City genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Townsville City prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Townsville City - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Townsville City looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Townsville City's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Townsville City has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Townsville City shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Townsville City has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.