Mount Gambier, SA 5290

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2 thoughts on “Mount Gambier, SA 5290”

  1. The total adult population (15 years or older) of Mount Gambier 5290 SA is 21,015, with a median age of 41. Of those, 42.42% are married, 14.63% are divorced or separated, 35.77% are single and 7.20% are widowed.

    The average household size is 2.2 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $6,564. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $1,083 which is 16.50% of their earnings.

    Source: ABS Census Data (2021)

  2. Mount Gambier, SA 5290 seems to be a great area to invest in if you are looking for a property with solid cash flow and capital growth potential.

    Even though the gross yield seems to be on the lower side at the moment (4.73%), the disparity in growth between rents and typical values of homes suggests that there is more steam left for growth in the yield domain. This is in line with our projected annual rent increase of 3.34%.

    On the other hand, the data shows that the growth in typical values will outpace the growth in rents in the coming years. With a Capital Growth RCS score of 59 and an Overall RCS score of 79, I believe that the projection of 12% annual capital gain is more likely than the lower options. This is also evident when comparing the typical value expressed in thousands to the median rent which are only narrowly separated, $404K to $368W respectively.

    Tip: usually narrow difference between these two figures signifies outpacing of capital growth to yield growth.

    With a much lower risk score to other areas with a higher gross rental yield, my research indicates that Mount Gambier, SA 5290 would represent a solid addition to a balanced property portfolio or one embracing a cash flow strategy while considering levels of risk.

    WHY:

    With a Relative Composite Score (RCS) of:
    1. 85 / 100 for risk;
    2. 95 / 100 for cashflow;
    4. 84 / 100 score for overall.

    The low-risk component, which is represented by the higher risk score number (85), makes Mount Gambier, SA 5290 an appealing area to invest in and in comparison, to other high yield areas. Given that high yield areas are usually accompanied with a high-risk component, a risk score of 85 and a cash flow score of 95 is a perfect indication of balance between cashflow and risk which is usually very difficult to source.

    Other important metrics to consider:

    Fundamentals

    ISRAD score: 1 — the ISRAD metric highlights the socio-economic standards of the area in question. For Mount Gambier, SA 5290, the score is 1 which represents unfavourable conditions. However, considering that the area has experienced 74% growth in its typical value in the last decade—meaning that the property values have nearly doubled—having an ISRAD score of 1 appears to be an insignificant correlation to price growth.

    R|O Ratio: 33% — this relatively balanced score in the renter to owner occupier ratio is suggestible restricted supply of properties for sale. Properties that are rented are usually investment properties which sometimes have a higher probability of sale. Owner occupied properties are on average held for longer which therefore restricts the supply of available properties for sale. This excludes the probability of distressed sales, which are usually a negligible statistic.
    This suggests that at times of positive macroeconomic conditions and lower interest rates, demand levels would usually outpace supply levels which is suggestible of an upward pressure on pricing.

    U|H Ratio: 10% — this rather opportunistic figure in the unit to house ratio supplements the previous comment that suggests Mount Gambier has a large population of owner occupiers that hold onto their homes for longer which can have a positive effect on price growth due to the imbalance between supply and demand.
    The flow on effect is usually exemplified as such:
    Higher proportion of houses = higher proportion of owner-occupied properties which = restricted supply of properties which = price growth (should demand and building approvals remain the same)

    Supply Metrics

    SoM%: 0.14% (18 listings) — this is an opportunistic number and suggests reduced levels of stock are present on the market therefore restricting the supply levels. Not only has there been a substantial reduction in listings from March (23) to April (18) which in percentage terms is nearly a 25% reduction, but the long-term trend of SoM% has been reducing since 2020. If demand remains constant, this primes the area for more price growth.
    Inventory: 0.49 — akin to Som%, this figure is also opportunistic. The graph above highlights a slow decline of stock available on market. The downward trend is akin to SoM% downward trend.

    Hold Periods: 9.43 years — this is a relatively balanced number which suggests continued downward pressure on the supply of houses when assessed in combination with other supply metrics. Most importantly, the constant rise in the hold period years since 2008 provide a favourable trend and one that is in line with previous statements regarding favourable R|O Ratio and U|H Ratio.

    Building Approvals Ratio: 0.46% — this relatively balanced metric which however is on the verge of becoming opportunistic (refer to). This indicates that the introduction of new properties to the market is not exuberant and as such one that would dramatically affect the levels of supply so that it has an inverse effect on price. Assessing BA in conjunction with SoM% and Inventory levels suggest a market with restricted supply of properties. Restricted supply = price growth if demand is stable or increasing.

    Demand Metrics

    DoM: 34 — this is an opportunistic figure and one that indicates an increasing demand. Most importantly, the DoM trend has seen a dramatic reduction since 2020. This means that Mount Gambier is an area with reducing supply and increasing demand—a perfect combination for price growth. This is why the ISRAD score of 1 should not play too much of a role in deciding the investment potential of the area which is also exemplified in the Rick RCS of 85.

    Vacancy Rate: 1.07%. This is a balanced figure that if nested with DoM highlights a market that has an upward pressure on demand. Renting out an investment property should not be a problem in Mount Gambier. More importantly, when forecasting for vacancy and associated costs, investors would be ok by allowing for 2 weeks of vacancy per year.

    Buy Search Index: 4—relatively balanced. This suggest that things are as per usually with respect to search interest which when assessed in combination with other metrics is favourable.

    Overall, in my view, this makes Mount Gambier a hidden gem. We have a low-risk environment combined with restricted supply metrics and increasing demand metrics. This suggests that the area is poised for both yield and capital growth upward pressure.

    Great area to invest in 2023 for those looking to spend sub 500k typical price for property and implementing a cashflow strategy.

    For a cheat sheet which highlights what are unfavourable, balanced and opportunistic statistics, refer to our Data Dictionary. Click here if you would like to compare Mount Gambier to another suburb in the LGA.

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