Denham Court, NSW 2565
Campbelltown City Council, New South Wales
Good to Know
Denham Court, NSW 2565 is a high-value house market in the Campbelltown City Council area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Located south-west of the Sydney CBD, Denham Court is home to roughly 9,129 adults across 3,652 dwellings and currently records a vacancy rate of 2.21%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Denham Court is exhibiting tight supply with steady demand. Stock on Market sits at 0.24% and Inventory at 1.55 months — well below the ~3-month balanced-market threshold — driving +3.4% YoY price growth and +3.4% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Denham Court shows matched, modest gains in both capital and rents — +3.4% price and +3.4% rent growth over 12 months — alongside constrained supply. Typical house price sits at $1,468,907, median weekly rent at $751, delivering an indicative gross yield of 2.66% (below the common 3% cashflow threshold). Low Stock on Market (0.24%) and low Inventory (1.55 months) support price resilience even where yields are tight.
Check relative momentum on the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap for a visual snapshot of how Denham Court stacks up across short-run signals.
Who lives in Denham Court — and why it matters for investors
Denham Court scores at the top of the socio‑economic scale with an IRSAD decile of 10, indicating very high relative affluence and spending capacity. The renter/owner split is 25% renters (neutral), while the units/houses ratio is just 1% (opportune), confirming this is overwhelmingly a houses market — a factor that tends to reduce turnover and support long‑run capital stability. For how area affluence links to price behaviour see the IRSAD Crossover study.
Why suburb-level data matters for Denham Court
Council averages can hide suburban pockets with very different dynamics. Decisions should be based on Denham Court's own metrics: a typical house price of $1,468,907, an indicative gross yield of 2.66%, Stock on Market 0.24%, Inventory 1.55 months and average days on market of 51 days. These local figures tell a story of tight supply and price resilience even where yields are compressed.
For a methodology overview on scale and sampling see LGA vs Suburb research. You can also download the full Denham Court data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 46
The HtAG RCS™ bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital‑growth potential and cashflow resilience — into a single composite score. An overall RCS of 46 signals a middle‑of‑the‑road profile where growth is plausible but cashflow (given a 2.66% gross yield) is constrained; reading the sub‑scores is essential to match Denham Court to your strategy. Learn more about how the RCS™ is built.
To explore the full breakdown, open Denham Court in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
The vacancy rate — currently 2.21%: a balanced reading (1–3.5%) that suggests limited immediate rental pressure; a sustained fall below ~1.0% would lift rents more quickly over 12–24 months.
The building approvals ratio — currently 0.82%: a neutral supply reading (0.3–2%) that indicates moderate pipeline building activity; a sustained rise above 2% would signal increasing local supply pressure on prices.
The Sydney cycle phase: a city‑wide shift in the Sydney cycle (either into acceleration or broad contraction) would materially affect local momentum in Denham Court given its connectivity to the Sydney market.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Denham Court's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Market Trends
Denham Court's headline values — $1,468K to buy and $751PW to rent, a 2.65% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 165.67% and rents 43.32% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$1,468K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$751PW today, with rent growth at (+3.44% YoY) compared to price growth (+3.4%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Denham Court in its cycle - and is the 2.65% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Denham Court's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Denham Court carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Denham Court's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Denham Court can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Denham Court genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Denham Court prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Denham Court - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Denham Court looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Denham Court's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Denham Court has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Denham Court shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Denham Court has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Denham Court 2565 NSW is 6,867, with a median age of 33. Of those, 63.27% are married, 6.86% are divorced or separated, 26.96% are single and 2.91% are widowed.
The average household size is 3.2 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $10,372. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $2,784 which is 26.84% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)