Denham Court, NSW 2565
Campbelltown City Council, New South Wales
Good to Know
Denham Court, NSW 2565 is a high-value house market in the Denham Court area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Home to roughly 9,129 adults across 3,652 dwellings, the suburb shows a vacancy rate of 1.77%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Denham Court is exhibiting tight supply with balanced rental pressure. Stock on Market sits at 0.27% and Inventory at 1.65 months — well below the ~3-month balanced-market threshold — driving +2.6% YoY price growth and +4.0% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Denham Court’s data shows rental momentum outpacing capital gains: one‑year rent growth is +4.0% versus price growth of +2.6%. That gap, combined with a gross yield of 2.72% (below the recommended 3%), signals rental markets are tightening but investor cashflow is challenged. Low Stock on Market at 0.27% and Inventory of 1.65 months are supply-side signals that maintain upward pressure on both rents and prices. See the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap for the live positioning.
Who lives in Denham Court — and why it matters for investors
Denham Court records an IRSAD of 1082, above the advisory threshold of 927, indicating relatively higher socio‑economic advantage which tends to reduce downside volatility and support long‑run demand. The renter/owner split at 25.0% is in the neutral band, so capital and rental outcomes will be driven more by supply shifts and broader market cycles than by transient rental‑sector swings. Read the IRSAD Crossover study to understand how affluence interfaces with property outcomes.
Why suburb-level data matters for Denham Court
Council or LGA averages can mask tight pockets like Denham Court — decisions should rest on the suburb’s own metrics. Typical house price sits at $1,430,476, gross yield 2.72%, Stock on Market 0.27%, Inventory 1.65 months and median days on market 59 days. Those local measures tell a different story than a broad council average would. For methodology on why this matters see LGA vs Suburb research.
For a downloadable data pack, open the full Denham Court data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 53
The HtAG RCS™ score of 53 bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital‑growth potential and cashflow resilience — into a single composite to help screen markets against strategy. A mid‑range score like this flags modest capital upside with mid‑level risk and constrained cashflow (given the 2.72% yield). Review the breakdown to match the suburb to your objectives; learn how the RCS™ is built. To dig straight into the data, open Denham Court in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
vacancy rate — currently 1.77%: this is a balanced reading; if vacancy drifts below ~1% over 12–24 months it would signal sustained rental tightness and stronger rent escalation, while a rising vacancy would relieve rental pressure.
building approvals ratio — currently 0.98%: a neutral approvals rate that points to a moderate pipeline. A material rise would add supply and could cap short‑term price/rent gains; a sustained fall tightens available stock.
Sydney cycle phase: a shift in the wider Sydney market (e.g. into a slowdown or recovery) would quickly influence local buyer confidence and finance availability in Denham Court — amplifying or damping the suburb’s current momentum.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Denham Court's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Market Trends
Denham Court's headline values — $1,430K to buy and $746PW to rent, a 2.71% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 168.26% and rents 43.10% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$1,430K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$746PW today, with rent growth at (+4.04% YoY) compared to price growth (+2.59%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Denham Court in its cycle - and is the 2.71% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Denham Court's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Denham Court carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Denham Court's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Denham Court can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Denham Court genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Denham Court prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Denham Court - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Denham Court looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Denham Court's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Denham Court has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Denham Court shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Denham Court has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Denham Court 2565 NSW is 6,867, with a median age of 33. Of those, 63.27% are married, 6.86% are divorced or separated, 26.96% are single and 2.91% are widowed.
The average household size is 3.2 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $10,372. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $2,784 which is 26.84% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)