Moyne Shire
Victoria
Good to Know
Moyne Shire is a tightly-held house market in the Moyne Shire area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. It is home to roughly 17,374 adults across 33,965 dwellings, with a vacancy rate of 0.74%, indicating very low rental availability.
According to HtAG Analytics, Moyne Shire is exhibiting constrained supply and price-led momentum. Stock on Market sits at 0.22% and Inventory at 2.41 months — Inventory is around the balanced threshold while Stock on Market is very low — driving +12.3% YoY price growth and +4.7% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Moyne Shire's 12-month data shows clear price momentum (+12.3%) outpacing rental growth (+4.7%), which points to a capital-growth phase rather than a purely yield-led market. Low supply indicators — Stock on Market at 0.22% and vacancy at 0.74% — are supporting that price strength, while Inventory at 2.41 months sits near a balanced level and Days on Market of 38 days is neutral.
For a visual of where Moyne Shire sits in the current cycle, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Moyne Shire — and why it matters for investors
Moyne Shire scores an IRSAD decile of 8, indicating relative affluence and household capacity to support stable demand — a factor that tends to reduce downside volatility over long cycles. The Renter/Owner split is 24% (neutral), so owner-occupiers dominate but there remains a rental market for investors.
The local housing mix is skewed to houses: Units/Houses ratio is 8% (opportune), meaning less competitive pressure from unit supply and a structural advantage for house-focused investors. See the IRSAD Crossover study for why socio‑economic context matters to returns.
Why Moyne Shire is a screening layer, not a final answer
Council-level averages can mask very different pockets inside an LGA. Decisions should rest on Moyne Shire's own suburb-level metrics and on-site factors. Key local figures: typical house price $943,557, indicative gross yield 3.17%, Stock on Market 0.22%, Inventory 2.41 months and Days on Market 38. These suburb‑level signals help you screen quickly before site visits or deeper due diligence.
Read our methodology on LGA vs Suburb research.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 54
The HtAG RCS™ bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into one composite score. An overall score of 54 for Moyne Shire reflects a balanced mix of growth opportunity and medium cashflow strength; drilling into the sub-scores helps match the area to your strategy. Learn how the RCS™ is built.
To test scenarios and maps, open Moyne Shire in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
The vacancy rate — currently 0.74%: sustained sub‑1% vacancy over 12–24 months typically indicates persistent landlord pricing power and upward pressure on rents and values.
The building approvals ratio — currently 0.15%: this low approvals rate is opportune for existing-supply owners because limited new builds reduce future competition.
The Melbourne cycle phase: a city‑wide shift (stronger or weaker) would filter into Moyne Shire demand — stronger metropolitan cycles tend to lift regional buyer interest, while a metropolitan downturn can slow local momentum.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Moyne Shire's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Moyne Shire's headline values — $943K to buy and $575PW to rent, a 3.16% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 103.39% and rents 112.55% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$943K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$575PW today, with rent growth at (+4.73% YoY) compared to price growth (+12.29%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Moyne Shire in its cycle - and is the 3.16% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Moyne Shire's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Moyne Shire carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Moyne Shire's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Moyne Shire can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Moyne Shire genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Moyne Shire prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Moyne Shire - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Moyne Shire looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Moyne Shire's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Moyne Shire has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Moyne Shire shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Moyne Shire has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.