Blacktown, NSW 2148
Blacktown City Council, New South Wales
Good to Know
Blacktown, NSW 2148 is a high-value house market in the Blacktown City Council area, currently positioned as a capital growth submarket. Located about 34 km west-northwest of Sydney CBD, Blacktown is home to roughly 50,961 residents across 21,777 dwellings, with a vacancy rate of 1.58%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Blacktown is exhibiting tight listing supply alongside broadly balanced rental conditions. Stock on Market sits at 0.3% and Inventory at 2.29 months — slightly below the ~3-month balanced-market threshold but still within the balanced band — driving +6.4% YoY price growth and +3.9% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Blacktown's +6.4% annual price growth outpaces its +3.9% rent growth, which, together with a gross yield of 2.69% (below the recommended 3% threshold), indicates a capital-growth‑dominant market where cashflow is likely to be tight for buy‑and‑hold investors. The exceptionally low advertised Stock on Market at 0.3% creates upward pressure on prices, while Inventory of 2.29 months and a vacancy of 1.58% point to a market that is active but not overheated. For a visual summary, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Blacktown — and why it matters for investors
Blacktown records an IRSAD of 959, which sits above HtAG's minimum recommended value and suggests moderate socio-economic advantage compared with lower-scoring pockets. That social-economic profile, alongside a renter/owner split of 43.0% (neutral) and a units/houses ratio of 38.0% (neutral), tends to support lower volatility in rents and more consistent demand through cycles. Read the evidence base in our IRSAD Crossover study.
Why suburb-level data matters for Blacktown
Council-level averages can mask pockets of very different performance; the decision to buy should rest on Blacktown's own suburb-level metrics. In Blacktown the typical house price sits at $1,252,083 with a gross yield of 2.69%, Stock on Market at 0.3%, Inventory at 2.29 months and median days on market of 42 days. Those figures show a market with tight advertised supply and lower yields — useful context that can be lost when only looking at broader council numbers. Learn more about why this matters in our LGA vs Suburb research. For deeper local detail, download the full Blacktown data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 67
HtAG's RCS™ score of 67 bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into one composite to help screen markets against strategy. The headline score can hide trade-offs (for example stronger capital potential but weaker yield), so review the sub-scores to match Blacktown to your investment time‑horizon and risk appetite; see how the RCS™ is built. To model scenarios and drill into the sub-score breakdown, open Blacktown in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
Monitor the vacancy rate — currently 1.58%: sustained falls below 1% would tighten rental conditions and lift asking rents over 12–24 months, while a sustained rise above 3.5% would signal weakening rental demand and softer rent growth.
Watch the building approvals ratio — currently 0.65%: this neutral reading indicates a modest development pipeline relative to the dwelling stock and reduces the immediate risk of sudden oversupply, but any sustained increase would add future stock pressure.
Track the wider Sydney cycle phase: a city‑wide upswing would tend to amplify Blacktown's price momentum and buyer competition, while a city‑level downturn would likely cool local transactions and slow price and rent growth.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Blacktown's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Market Trends
Blacktown's headline values — $1,252K to buy and $648PW to rent, a 2.69% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 68.47% and rents 52.11% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$1,252K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$648PW today, with rent growth at (+3.85% YoY) compared to price growth (+6.44%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Blacktown in its cycle - and is the 2.69% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Blacktown's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Blacktown carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Blacktown's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Blacktown can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Blacktown genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Blacktown prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Blacktown - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Blacktown looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Blacktown's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Blacktown has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Blacktown shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Blacktown has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Blacktown 2148 NSW is 41,130, with a median age of 34. Of those, 49.91% are married, 10.56% are divorced or separated, 34.52% are single and 5.03% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.9 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $7,740. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $2,094 which is 27.05% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)