Keiraville, NSW 2500
Wollongong City Council, New South Wales
Good to Know
Keiraville, NSW 2500 is a high-value house market in the Wollongong City Council area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Located roughly 80 km south of Sydney CBD, Keiraville is home to roughly 4,001 adults across 1,538 dwellings, and shows an opportune vacancy rate of 0.86%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Keiraville is exhibiting tight rental demand against balanced sales supply. Stock on Market sits at 0.5% and Inventory at 4.27 months — slightly above the ~3-month balanced-market threshold — driving +8.9% YoY price growth and +9.0% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Keiraville's combination of +8.9% price growth and +9.0% rent growth, together with a low vacancy of 0.86%, signals rental-led demand supporting capital gains. Sales-side supply indicators (Stock on Market 0.5%, Inventory 4.27 months) are currently in a balanced band, so expect rental pressures to remain a primary driver of near-term momentum.
Explore the spatial context on the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap to see how Keiraville's short-term signals sit across neighbouring pockets.
Who lives in Keiraville — and why it matters for investors
Keiraville posts an IRSAD of 1,041, which sits above the recommended threshold and indicates relatively higher socio-economic advantage. That IRSAD profile often correlates with lower structural vacancy and lower rental volatility, supporting steadier long-cycle capital growth potential.
Local tenure mixes are neutral: renter/owner ratio is 38.0% and units/houses ratio is 21.0%, both in the neutral band — meaning demand sources are diverse but not extreme. Read the IRSAD Crossover study for how socio-economic crossover shapes growth outcomes.
Why suburb-level data matters for Keiraville
Council-level averages can hide small but important pockets: Keiraville's own metrics (typical price $1,457,578, gross yield 2.9%, Stock on Market 0.5%, Inventory 4.27 months, days on market 53) tell a focused story about affordability stress, rental tightness and capital performance that you won't get from an LGA headline alone.
See our methodology on why localised screening matters in the LGA vs Suburb research. For a printable deep dive, download the full Keiraville data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 51
HtAG's RCS™ of 51 bundles three dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into one composite. A mid-range score like this means Keiraville offers a balance of upside and risk that should be read alongside the sub-score breakdown to match strategy to outcome.
Learn how the RCS™ is built, or open Keiraville in HtAG Copilot to inspect sub-scores and scenario modelling.
Forward signals to watch
vacancy rate — currently 0.86%: sustained sub-1% vacancy typically implies ongoing rental scarcity, upward pressure on rents and stronger landlord bargaining power over the next 12–24 months.
building approvals ratio — currently 0.4%: this neutral reading suggests no imminent surge in new supply that would quickly relieve rental pressure, but a material increase would be a key supply-side risk to monitor.
Sydney cycle phase: any shift in the wider Sydney cycle from expansion to slowdown would temper local momentum and could compress price growth in Keiraville, so track city-wide indicators alongside suburb-level signals.
Does this area meet your investment goals?
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RCS Breakdown
Keiraville's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
starter
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Keiraville's headline values — $1,457K to buy and $808PW to rent, a 2.88% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 79.26% and rents 50.09% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$1,457K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$808PW today, with rent growth at (+8.99% YoY) compared to price growth (+8.92%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Keiraville in its cycle - and is the 2.88% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Keiraville's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Keiraville carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Keiraville's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Keiraville can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Keiraville genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Keiraville prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Keiraville - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Keiraville looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Keiraville's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Keiraville has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Keiraville shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Keiraville has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Keiraville 2500 NSW is 3,524, with a median age of 26. Of those, 31.67% are married, 7.35% are divorced or separated, 56.90% are single and 3.97% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.5 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $9,240. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $2,200 which is 23.81% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)