Keiraville, NSW 2500
Wollongong City Council, New South Wales
Good to Know
Keiraville, NSW 2500 is a high-value house market in the Wollongong City Council area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Located just west of the Wollongong CBD, Keiraville is home to roughly 4,001 residents across 1,538 dwellings, with a vacancy rate of 1.55%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Keiraville is exhibiting mixed supply/demand behaviour. Stock on Market sits at 0.47% and Inventory at 4.53 months — above the ~3-month balanced-market threshold and indicating softer turnover — driving +8.9% YoY price growth and +8.7% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Keiraville's annual price growth of +8.9% closely tracks rent growth of +8.7%, which points to concurrent uplift in both capital and income. That said, an indicative gross yield of 2.89% is below the commonly recommended 3% threshold, so yield-sensitive investors will find cashflow constrained. Listings metrics are mixed — with a 0.47% Stock on Market (neutral) but an elevated 4.53 months Inventory — and should be watched alongside price momentum. See the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap for live positioning.
Who lives in Keiraville — and why it matters for investors
Keiraville scores a high socio-economic position with an IRSAD decile of 9, which historically supports lower volatility and stronger long-cycle capital growth. The suburb's 38% renter share is in the neutral band, and the 21% units/houses ratio is also neutral — both factors that shape tenant demand and resale dynamics. Read the IRSAD Crossover study to understand why socio-economic crossover points matter for growth potential.
Why suburb-level data matters for Keiraville
Suburb-level metrics tell the real story for Keiraville: a typical house price of $1,451,599, a gross yield of 2.89%, Stock on Market at 0.47%, Inventory at 4.53 months and median days on market of 61 days. Council- or LGA-level averages can blend very different pockets; decisions should be based on Keiraville’s own signals. See our methodology note on LGA vs Suburb research.
For a downloadable dossier, view the full Keiraville data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 47
The HtAG RCS™ (47) bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into one composite to help match markets to strategy. Because each dimension can point in different directions (for example, strong capital growth but weak yield), reading the sub-score breakdown matters when choosing a buy or hold strategy; learn more about how the RCS™ is built. To investigate the sub-score split and scenario-test Keiraville, open Keiraville in HtAG Copilot.
Forward signals to watch
vacancy rate — currently 1.55%: a sustained balanced vacancy near this level over 12–24 months typically supports steady rents but limits rapid rental upside.
building approvals ratio — currently 0.39%: this neutral reading implies modest new-supply additions that are unlikely to overwhelm demand in the near term.
Sydney cycle phase: a city-wide shift in the Sydney cycle (upturn or downturn) would influence local momentum in Keiraville — amplifying or dampening the suburb’s existing price and rent trends depending on the direction of the cycle.
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RCS Breakdown
Keiraville's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Keiraville's headline values — $1,420K to buy and $745PW to rent, a 2.72% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 71.32% and rents 48.90% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$1,420K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$745PW today, with rent growth at (+6.56% YoY) compared to price growth (+9.35%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Keiraville in its cycle - and is the 2.72% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Keiraville's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Keiraville carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Keiraville's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Keiraville can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Keiraville genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Keiraville prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Keiraville - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Keiraville looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Keiraville's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Keiraville has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Keiraville shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Keiraville has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Keiraville 2500 NSW is 3,524, with a median age of 26. Of those, 31.67% are married, 7.35% are divorced or separated, 56.90% are single and 3.97% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.5 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $9,240. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $2,200 which is 23.81% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)