Ellenbrook, WA 6069
City Of Swan, Western Australia
Good to Know
Ellenbrook, WA 6069 is a high-growth house market in the City Of Swan area, currently positioned as a long-hold capital growth submarket. Located about 25 km north‑east of Perth CBD, it is home to roughly 24,668 adults across 10,435 dwellings and currently records a vacancy rate of 1.56%.
According to HtAG Analytics, Ellenbrook is exhibiting a mixed supply picture with firm demand. Stock on Market sits at 0.39% and Inventory at 2.32 months — slightly below the ~3‑month balanced-market threshold — driving +14.9% YoY price growth and +6.6% YoY rent growth.
What the market data is signalling
Ellenbrook's house prices have recorded +14.9% growth over the last 12 months while rents have risen +6.6%, a gap that points to capital-led momentum rather than a pure yield cycle. Supply-side readings — Stock on Market 0.39% (opportune) and Inventory 2.32 months (neutral) — alongside a 1.56% vacancy rate and a typical 44 days on market, suggest limited fresh listing depth is supporting price gains. For a visual of Ellenbrook's position in the broader cycle, see the Markets in the Moment (MiM™) heatmap.
Who lives in Ellenbrook — and why it matters for investors
Ellenbrook records an IRSAD decile of 4, indicating relative affordability and a demographic profile that can cap ultra‑premium price volatility but supports steady demand from owner-occupiers and budget-sensitive buyers. The local renter/owner ratio is 25% (neutral), which typically moderates short-term rental volatility.
Housing stock is heavily dominant — the units/houses ratio is 5% (opportune) — meaning the suburb's performance is driven by the house market rather than unit activity. These demographic and tenure signals influence both short-term cashflow resilience and long-cycle capital growth; see the IRSAD Crossover study for more on how socio‑economic mix affects growth.
Why suburb-level data matters for Ellenbrook
Suburb-level metrics show the local market dynamics that drive real investment outcomes. Ellenbrook's suburb figures — a typical house price of $907,710, an indicative gross yield of 3.91%, a low Stock on Market of 0.39%, Inventory at 2.32 months and a median 44 days on market — tell a compact story about supply tightness and capital-led momentum that council averages can mask. Use suburb metrics to align strategy and risk appetite; read more in our LGA vs Suburb research.
For a downloadable data pack, see the full Ellenbrook data guide.
What's behind the RCS™ score of 91
The HtAG RCS™ bundles three independent dimensions — risk minimisation, capital-growth potential and cashflow resilience — into a single composite so you can compare markets on a common scale. Ellenbrook's RCS™ of 91 reflects strong capital-growth signals combined with reasonable cashflow metrics; reading the sub‑scores matters when matching market suitability to your strategy. Learn more about how the RCS™ is built.
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Forward signals to watch
vacancy rate — currently 1.56%: a sustained vacancy around this level typically keeps rental pressure positive and supports gradual rent growth over 12–24 months; a fall below ~1% would increase upward pressure on rents.
building approvals ratio — currently 1.55%: this neutral reading indicates a moderate development pipeline, so sudden supply spikes are unlikely but worth monitoring if approvals accelerate.
Perth cycle phase: a shift in Perth's broader market phase (slowing or accelerating) would likely moderate or amplify Ellenbrook's local momentum; watch city‑wide indicators to time entries and exits.
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RCS Breakdown
Ellenbrook's RCS™ headline is an overall signal — but it doesn't tell you why. The three sub-scores below reveal whether that score is earned through risk minimisation, capital growth, or cashflow — and which portfolio brief it fits.
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Critical to know
Market Trends
Ellenbrook's headline values — $907K to buy and $682PW to rent, a 3.9% gross yield. Over the past decade, prices have moved 132.52% and rents 85.60% — the Yield series shows whether that gap is widening (price outpacing rent, yield compressing) or closing.
$907K is today. The 10-year trajectory reveals whether that's the top of a run, the start of a new leg, or somewhere mid-cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
$682PW today, with rent growth at (+6.55% YoY) compared to price growth (+14.89%). That spread determines yield is expanding or compressing across the next cycle. Sign up to unlock the entire trend line.
Where is Ellenbrook in its cycle - and is the 3.9% yield holding?
Cycle phase tells you whether you're buying near the bottom (room to run) or top (compression ahead). Yield trajectory tells you whether cashflow is durable or being eroded — the single most important question for a long-hold thesis.
Cycle Phase
Cycle Position
Yield Trajectory
Rent vs Price Spread
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Area Risks
Property data alone won't flag the structural risks that can erode a long-hold position. Bushfire overlays, flood-zone exposure, and economic concentration sit outside the price feed but determine whether your capital is insurable, defensible, and structurally protected. Unlock to see.
Are there hidden structural risks shaping Ellenbrook's long-hold story?
Beyond the headline price, Ellenbrook carries risk signals a median can't show — hazard exposure from bushfire and flood overlays, and how narrowly local employment leans on a handful of sectors (the concentration the EDI score quantifies). Together these separate insurable, defensible long-holds from those carrying tail-risk that never surfaces in the headline number.
MADI Risk
EDI Risk
Bushfire
Flood
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Critical to know
Supply & Demand
Ellenbrook's headline numbers show where the market is today. The two cards below answer where it's heading. Direction is what separates a buy from a wait.
Is housing supply tightening or building up?
Stock on Market is one number — the trend is what matters. SoM, inventory, building approvals and hold period together reveal whether the market is starving for stock (price pressure up) or quietly building a pipeline (pressure down).
Stock on Market
Inventory
Building Approvals
Hold Period
Is buyer and renter demand heating up or cooling off?
Vacancy is one signal — the real question is whether demand is still building or quietly peaking. Days on market, vacancy, search index and clearance rate are the four pulse-points — when they diverge, they signal a turning point.
Days on Market
Vacancy Rate
Search Index
Clearance Rate
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Fundamentals
Ellenbrook can look solid on the surface — but the three layers below separate markets that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Is Ellenbrook genuinely stable - or just expensive?
IRSAD hints at affluence, but socio-economic strength alone doesn't guarantee resilience. Combined with the renter-to-owner balance and unit-to-house ratio, you get the three signals that separate a tightly-held submarket from one carrying hidden volatility.
IRSAD
Renter to Owner
Units to Houses
Where do Ellenbrook prices go over the next 12 months?
Today's headline price is just a snapshot. Projected ROI and the volatility index tell you whether to commit capital now, wait for a softer entry, or rotate into a steadie submarket.
Projected Annual ROI
Volatility Index
Can you actually buy into Ellenbrook - and exit cleanly?
Tightly-held areas reward long-hold investors but punish anyone who needs liquidity. Annual sales and rental volume reveal whether your capital can reposition — or sits structurally locked in.
Annual Sales Volume
Annual Rental Volume
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Important to know
Education & Infrastructure
Ellenbrook looks tightly-held and stable on the surface — but the three layers below separate areas that genuinely hold value from ones that only look like they do.
Does Ellenbrook's school catchment + infrastructure pipeline justify the price?
School ranks anchor family demand and tenant quality. The active infrastructure pipeline shifts a suburb's price ceiling over the next 5–10 years. Together they tell you whether Ellenbrook has structural support for the next leg of capital growth.
School Rank
Hospitals & Employment
Infrastructure Spend
Transport Projects
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Full HtAG Intelligence
Ellenbrook shows potential. The platform tells you whether it's the best fit for your portfolio.
Price and yield are only the surface. HtAG reads the forces underneath — supply tightening or loosening, demand heating or cooling, and the risks that move slowly but decide long-term growth. Together they show whether Ellenbrook has the structural support for its next leg — or whether the numbers are running ahead of the fundamentals.
The total adult population (15 years or older) of Ellenbrook 6069 WA is 18,190, with a median age of 32. Of those, 45.83% are married, 13.06% are divorced or separated, 37.56% are single and 3.55% are widowed.
The average household size is 2.9 people per dwelling, and the median household monthly income is estimated to be $8,260. The median monthly mortgage repayment for households in this suburb is $1,833 which is 22.19% of their earnings.
Source: ABS Census Data (2021)