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Alex's avatarAlex

Alex leads HtAG’s dev team. With a background in Software Architecture and Technology Consulting, Alex brings valuable experience and knowledge that ensures the disruptive nature of our business model. Alex’s passion for machine learning and Big Data is what drives the continuous innovation of HtAG’s service offering.

The Pitfalls of Median Price: How Typical Price Provides a More Accurate Picture

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Median Price is one of the most commonly reported property market metrics. All major media outlets and data providers use it to highlight real estate price levels in capital city and regional markets. In this article we will explore whether this metric is a reliable indicator to perform data-driven market research and assess suburbs for investment opportunities…

The 3 Best Metrics to Determine Where to Buy an Investment Property

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RCS (Relative Composite Score)™ is designed to rank markets on 3 key parameters – capital growth, cashflow and risk. The scores are updated on a monthly basis, so investors can keep up-to-date with changes in the market.

RCS™ allows us to quickly and easily understand how a property market is performing. It’s a simplified way to look at data that can be difficult to parse otherwise. A single score is more accurate than relying on multiple metrics, because it accounts for many factors via a comparison algorithm designed to handle data complexity.

Vacancy Rate Metric Explained

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In 30 Seconds What is it? Vacancy Rate is the percentage of rental properties in a suburb that are available for rent. A low rate signals strong rental demand; a high rate signals oversupply. Why it matters? Low vacancy signals strong rental demand and supports rent growth; high vacancy warns of oversupply. Who uses it? … Read more

Maximise Your Property Investment Analysis with HtAG Skill Points

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Are you looking to maximize your property investment strategy with cutting edge analysis and market research? Our innovative Property Investment Software offers not only the latest data and insights but also a compelling way to save on your data costs while you learn. Discover how our unique gamification system rewards you with Skill Points for … Read more

Property Investment Course Survey

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We’re excited to announce that we’re developing a Property Investment Course focused on Data-Driven Market Research.

As we are preparing the course content, we want to make sure it’s perfectly aligned with YOUR needs and expectations. This is your chance to influence what goes into the course!

Please take a few minutes to fill out our questionnaire. Your responses will directly shape the course, ensuring it meets your specific challenges and goals in property investment.

Australia in Flux: A Comprehensive Exploration of Socio-economic and Demographic Shifts

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Socio-economic changes in Australia

Shimmering beaches, cute koalas and Hugh Jackman – these Australian clichés just aren’t cutting it anymore. As our nation morphs at an accelerating pace, we need to ride the wave of socio-economic change. Whether you’re knee-deep in urban planning, investing in real estate, or simply curious about your homeland’s transformation, this analysis based on Australia’s … Read more

Revolutionising Real Estate Data Analysis: Enriched Features in 2.6.0 Software Release

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In the ever-evolving realm of prop tech, HtAG Analytics continues to take strides in ensuring our users have the most innovative and insightful features at their fingertips. With our latest software release, we’ve introduced a variety of enhancements designed to bring your data exploration to new heights. From the full deployment of our Relative Composite … Read more

What Is Years to Own? Australia’s Housing Affordability Metric

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This metric is defined in the HtAG Data Dictionary — Years to Own, the full index of HtAG’s property-market metrics. Short Summary Years to Own is HtAG Analytics’ housing-affordability metric — the estimated years it would take to fully repay a standard 30-year mortgage on the typical home in an area, given current house prices, … Read more

A Deep Dive into Typical Price vs. Median Price: Unlock the Secret to Smarter Property Investment

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In this video, Alex Fedoseev, co-founder of HtAG Analytics, explains the concept of typical price in real estate and how it differs from median price. [00:00:00] Introduction[00:01:00] What is Typical Price?[00:02:00] Refresher on Median Prices[00:03:00] Issues with Median Prices[00:04:00] Median Price and Composition of Sales[00:05:00] Introducing the Typical Price[00:06:00] Methodology of Typical Price[00:07:00] Comparing Data … Read more

Non-Residential Building Approvals: Markers of Infrastructure Growth

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The non-residential building sector plays a vital role in shaping Australia’s economic landscape, reflecting the government’s commitment to investing in infrastructure and amenities. As such, understanding the trends in non-residential building approvals can provide valuable insights for real estate professionals and property investors, allowing them to make informed decisions and capitalize on emerging opportunities. In … Read more

Explore Australia’s Varied Real Estate Markets | Feb-March 2023

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Real estate markets can often appear overwhelming and complex, and when you take a closer look you can see that small and medium markets often exist within an even larger market. This is certainly true in Australia’s real estate, where a variety of different markets intersect and cross over. In this article, we’ll take a … Read more

The Role of Building Approvals in Projecting Future Housing Supply

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In 30 Seconds What is it? The Building Approvals Ratio is newly approved residential builds over the past 12 months as a proportion of total dwellings, sourced from the ABS and transformed to suburb level. Why it matters? A high approvals ratio flags future supply that can cap growth; a low one flags scarcity. Who … Read more

How HtAG Backtests Its House Price Forecasts: Trend, Error Rate & Capital Growth Ranges

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House Price Forecasts

New to the concept? Start with the definitional guide — What Is Backtesting in Property Forecasting? — then come back here for how HtAG applies it to its own Typical Price forecasts every quarter. Estimated reading time: 10 minutes As we live in an increasingly data-driven world, it has become increasingly important for real-estate investors … Read more

Use Real Estate Hold Periods as a Supply Indicator

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In 30 Seconds What is it? Hold Period is the average number of years owners in a suburb hold a property before selling, found from repeat-sale dates. Longer means tightly held. Why it matters? Longer hold periods mean tightly held stock and steadier demand, but also a predictable future supply wave. Who uses it? Investors … Read more

The Price of Real Estate: A Comprehensive Look at House Price Indices

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Unlike with other goods and services that have a fixed price per unit, each sold property is always priced differently.

Furthermore, there are no transaction prices every month/quarter on the same property. Instead, there are infrequent transactions on diverse properties.

This results in noisy and unreliable data if we chose to rely on simplistic indices such as Median Price.

In this article we explore the solution to this problem and describe the methodologies used.

The Complete Guide to the IRSAD and How it Relates to House Prices

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The Index of Relative Socio-Economic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD) is a geographical index published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics that ranks areas in Australia by socio-economic factors.

In this article we explore how IRSAD relates to house prices in Australia.

Explore an interactive map that shows IRSAD decile scores for LGAs in Australia. The higher the score (dark orange), the better off is the area in terms of its’ socio-economic status.

Understanding Stock on Market (SoM) for Real Estate Investment

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In 30 Seconds What is it? Stock on Market Percentage (SoM%) is the percentage of dwellings in a suburb currently listed for sale. It helps compare relative property supply across locations of different sizes. Why it matters? Falling stock on market signals tightening supply, which tends to precede price pressure. Who uses it? Investors reading … Read more

Deep Dive into the HtAG Algorithm with the Investor Lab

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HtAG Analytics - Australian property intelligence

Did you know that you can outperform other investors by predicting the future of the property market? What if there is a way for you to foresee how it will be doing in the next three or four years? If you are an existing HtAG subscriber you may already know that as unreal as it sounds, it is possible.

Matt and Sasha had a lot of fun chatting with Goose from the Investor Lab about machine-learning algorithm and how it’s different from AI… What makes the human element essential to this kind of technology… Why there are multiple growth drives that factor in… And lots, lots more!

In this video, we cover:

  1. The origins of Higher than Average Growth [04:49]
  2. The team behind HtAG [09:11]
  3. Using past property market performance data to predict the future [11:41]
  4. Challenges in predicting the property cycle, all variables considered [15:41]
  5. How HtAG measures accuracy [18:15]
  6. AI vs machine-learning algorithms and their roles in property investing [20:09]
  7. The downside of applying technology to property investment [25:21]
  8. The biggest drivers of the growth of an area [30:02]
  9. The future of HtAG [36:16]
  10. Data interpretation still requires a human element [37:45]
  11. The only way to get your answers would be to keep probing [41:15]
  12. To train an algorithm, you have to feed it with a good diet of healthy data [42:40]

Can you see into the future and predict real estate market trends?

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AI, Machine Learning, Big Data are not only IT industry buzz words but are established technologies with real-life applications. These technologies have already solved several everyday problems in the recent decade. For example, Google Maps gets you from point A to B via an optimal route in peak traffic using Big Data and Machine Learning. … Read more

What is the impact of COVID-19 on the Australian real estate market?

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In recent weeks several leading real estate bodies published detailed assessments of the COVID-19 impact on the Australian property market. The consensus is that, although the sales activity has significantly decreased, it is too early to conclude whether the property prices have been impacted. Based on current data, median prices remain steady despite the restrictions imposed on the real estate industry and the general recessional trends in the economy.

In this article, we will take a close look at the latest sales data in major Australian capital cities – Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Canberra. We will establish the market trends before the spread of the pandemic early in the year and compare them to values reported in March, April and early May. These 3 months signify the introduction and subsequent easing of COVID-19 restrictions throughout the country. Therefore analysis of property market data during this period, will provide us with a valuable insight into the impact of the pandemic on the Australian real estate market…